NASA's Earth Observatory "Image of the Day" (IOTD) has just published a pair of Quelccaya images from Landsat 5's Thematic Mapper, taken 12 years apart. Perfect registration and color correction provide a fantastic opportunity to view and explore environmental change: click here, and then below the images click the shaded button labeled "VIEW IMAGE COMPARISON". Now note the vertical slider bar in the image center which can be moved from side to side with the mouse to compare the scenes in 1988 and 2010.
To supplement the IOTD images and text which you just opened in another window, the following are some interpretations based on observations at the ice cap. The 2010 NASA image has been annotated with letters to show locations referenced below, and the AWS location is labeled:
A To the east of the label, a marginal lake had just begun forming here in 1988, which gradually enlarged with ice recession. Note the thin ribbon of green extending north to the bofedal on the 1988 image; this meltwater runoff also provided water to the research camp for many years. Sometime between the 2006 and 2007 dry seasons, the lake abruptly drained subglacially into the lake below the "A" on the image, and then flooded down into the next valley to the south. Water from the glacier no longer flows past the camp, and neither a section of bofedal above the "A" nor the green ribbon are visible on the 2010 image.
The bright tan-colored ribbon visible on the 2010 image below the "A" resulted from sudden drainage of the marginal lake discussed above. Water flowed under and beside the glacier into the lake (not even present in 1988) and then sloshed over a bedrock sill and cascaded as a flood to the valley below. Sediments displaced into the bofedal are visible in the image; note also that the dark-blue lake just above the North arrow has increased in size. Several lakes in this valley were cored by Meredith Kelly, Tom Lowell et al. in 2011, and the record they produce will put this event into a Holocene perspective.
Just north of the "B" label is Qori Kalis outlet glacier, regularly monitored by the Ohio State group (Henry Brecher & Lonnie Thompson; also see here for an dual-image comparison). With the terminus no longer in contact with the lake, the rate of ice loss due to recession has slowed - yet the glacier is rapidly thinning. On-the-ground panoramic views of the area from 2012 include Qori Kalis (here and in greater detail here) and the margin to the south (here) where on the 2010 image - just 2 years prior - this lake was barely visible.
This valley to the northeast of Quelccaya appears to have received increased meltwater runoff since 1988, as evidenced by the extent and saturation of green in the 2010 image (i.e., move slider back and forth to see changes). This illustrates the paradoxical impact of glacier recession on water resources: in areas of increasing melt, more meltwater reaches bofedals in the valleys below, promoting plant growth (typically water-limited here, at ~5,000 m elevation). There are a multitude of other downstream effects as well, on both natural and human systems. At some point as the glaciers continue shrinking, the enhanced runoff will begin to diminish.
Note the tremendous ice loss on the ridge north of this valley!
Finally, the timeframe for this comparison must be put into context, as the dramatic changes shown by these two images span only a brief moment in the context of Earth history. Ice extent at Quelccaya has fluctuated in the past, of course, but likely never at the modern rate. For example, radiocarbon dating of plants emerging from beneath the ice near label "B" reveals a retreat rate that is nearly 2 orders of magnitude higher than the rate of advance (Thompson et al., 2013). Adapting to this rapid recession - at Quelccaya, elsewhere in the Andes, and globally - will be a major challenge for humans and all organisms dependent upon glacier meltwater runoff.